Friday, October 19, 2012

Is Microsoft A Value Trap? | AllFinancialMatters

I read an interesting short piece in this morning?g WSJ about how Microsoft?s fate.

I want to concentrate on the last paragraph:

?It [Microsoft] has reportedly ordered three million to five million Surface tablets that carry the software for this quarter versus 17 million iPads sold last quarter. If its orders prove justified, that will be good enough. If Windows 8 flops, this value stock will turn into a value trap.?

??turn into a value trap.??

From the look of this chart, it looks like Microsoft already is a value trap:

Microsoft Adjusted Closing Price History

I might misunderstand ?value trap? but it looks like Microsoft will reach the $32 range and then fall back to $29 or so and sit there for a long time. Then, it will announce earnings, get a little bump back to $30 ? $32 and then fall right back down again.

That said, the stock is up 14% this year (the S&P 500 is up over 18% this year on a TR basis).

Source: http://allfinancialmatters.com/2012/10/18/is-microsoft-a-value-trap/

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Monday, October 15, 2012

Re: Is FTM 2012 REALLY slow? - Family Tree Maker software ...

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Source: http://boards.ancestry.co.uk/topics.software.famtreemaker/9060.2.1.1.1.1.1.2.1.1.1.1.1.1.1/mb.ashx

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Sept. 11 trial rules under scrutiny at Guantanamo

FILE- In this March 1, 2003, file photo, obtained by the Associated Press, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the alleged Sept. 11 mastermind, is seen shortly after his capture during a raid in Pakistan. A U.S. military judge is considering broad security rules for the war crimes tribunal of five Guantanamo prisoners, among them Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, charged in the Sept. 11 attacks, including measures to prevent the accused from publicly revealing what happened to them in the CIA's secret network of overseas prisons. The hearing will start Monday, Oct. 15, 2012. (AP Photo, file)

FILE- In this March 1, 2003, file photo, obtained by the Associated Press, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the alleged Sept. 11 mastermind, is seen shortly after his capture during a raid in Pakistan. A U.S. military judge is considering broad security rules for the war crimes tribunal of five Guantanamo prisoners, among them Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, charged in the Sept. 11 attacks, including measures to prevent the accused from publicly revealing what happened to them in the CIA's secret network of overseas prisons. The hearing will start Monday, Oct. 15, 2012. (AP Photo, file)

(AP) ? A U.S. military judge is considering broad security rules for the war crimes tribunal of five Guantanamo prisoners charged in the Sept. 11 attacks, including measures to prevent the accused from publicly revealing what happened to them in the CIA's secret network of overseas prisons.

Prosecutors have asked the judge at a pretrial hearing starting Monday to approve what is known as a protective order that is intended to prevent the release of classified information during the eventual trial of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, who has portrayed himself as the mastermind of the terror attacks, and four co-defendants.

Lawyers for the defendants say the rules, as proposed, will hobble their defense. The American Civil Liberties Union, which has filed a challenge to the protective order, says the restrictions will prevent the public from learning what happened to Mohammed and his co-defendants during several years of CIA confinement and interrogation.

The protective order requires the court to use a 40-second delay during court proceedings so that spectators, who watch behind sound-proof glass, can be prevented from hearing ? from officials, lawyers or the defendants themselves ? the still-classified details of the CIA's rendition and detention program.

"What we are challenging is the censorship of the defendant's testimony based on their personal knowledge of the government's torture and detention of them," said Hina Shamsi, an ACLU attorney who will be arguing against the protective order during the pretrial hearing at the U.S. base in Cuba.

The protective order, which is also being challenged by a coalition of media organizations that includes The Associated Press, is overly broad because it would "classify the defendants own knowledge, thoughts and experience," Shamsi said in an interview.

"It's a truly extraordinary and chilling proposal that the government is asking the court to accept," she said.

Protective orders are standard method in civilian and military trials to set rules for handling evidence for the prosecution and defense. Military prosecutors argue in court papers that the Sept. 11 trial requires additional security because the accused have personal knowledge of classified information such as interrogation techniques and knowledge about which other countries provided assistance in their capture.

"Each of the accused is in the unique position of having had access to classified intelligence sources and methods," the prosecution says in court papers. "The government, like the defense, must protect that classified information from disclosure."

Army Brig. Gen. Mark Martins, the chief prosecutor for the military commissions, said Sunday that the security precautions are necessary to prevent the release information that could harm U.S. intelligence operations or personnel around the world, and not to prevent embarrassing the government or to cover-up wrongdoing.

"Our government's sources and methods are not an open book," Martins said.

The U.S. government has acknowledged that before the defendants were taken to Guantanamo in September 2006 they were subjected to "enhanced interrogation techniques" such as the simulated drowning method known as water-boarding. Defense attorneys say the treatment will be used to form the basis of their defense but the proposed protective order limits their ability to make that case in court and in public advocacy on behalf of their clients.

"It's a way in which the government can hide what it did to these men during the period of detention by the CIA," said Army Capt. Jason Wright, a Pentagon-appointed attorney for Mohammed. "I think we need to bring the truth to the light of day on these issues."

The judge's approval of the protective order, which may not happen this week, must occur before the Sept. 11 case can move forward. Defense lawyers cannot begin to review classified evidence against their clients until it is in place.

The protective order is the most contentious of about two dozen preliminary motions scheduled to be heard during a pretrial hearing expected to run through Friday. Other matters include whether the defendants can be required to attend court sessions, what clothing they are allowed to wear and defense requests for additional resources for what is considered one of the most significant terrorism prosecutions in U.S. history.

The families of people killed in the Sept. 11 attacks have been invited to military installations in the U.S. states of New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland and New York City to watch the pretrial hearings, which are closed to the general public. An earlier round of hearings in May was also transmitted to viewing locations for relatives of the victims, survivors of the attacks, and emergency personnel who responded to the disaster.

Mohammed and his four co-defendants are being prosecuted in a special military tribunal for war-time offenses known as a military commission. They were arraigned May 5 on charges that include terrorism, conspiracy and 2,976 counts of murder in violation of the law of war, one count for each known victim of the Sept. 11 attacks at the time the charges were filed. They could get the death penalty if convicted.

Mohammed, a Pakistani citizen who grew up in Kuwait and attended college in North Carolina, has told military officials that he planned the Sept. 11 attacks "from A to Z" and was involved in about 30 other terrorist plots. He has said, among other things, that he personally beheaded Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl. The other defendants are Ramzi Binalshibh; Walid bin Attash; Mustafa Ahmad al-Hawsawi; and Ali Abd al-Aziz Ali.

Their arraignment was an unruly, 13-hour proceeding in which the defendants stalled proceedings by refusing the use the court translation system and ignoring the judge. Subsequent hearings to handle pretrial motions were postponed because of scheduling conflicts, the Muslim holy period of Ramadan and Tropical Storm Isaac. Several more pretrial hearings must be held to litigate hundreds of motions before the start of the trial, which is likely at least a year away.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/3d281c11a96b4ad082fe88aa0db04305/Article_2012-10-15-Guantanamo-Sept%2011%20Trial/id-5a41e4423053437d92a6c7c043c8b23f

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how can yo do this? - Health, Fitness, and Sports

Pick up heavy things, put them down. That's why gyms exist, to give you an environment to do it on your own terms. If you're in the gym, and want to get strong without gaining mass (train your central nervous system) lift for few reps, near to your max. As the saying goes "If you wanna lift more weight, you gotta lift more weight." What that does is it trains your motor neurons and/or creates more motor neurons for your muscles.

Without the gym, basically hard manual labor. Convince your mom to get a woodstove and spend your day chopping wood or something.

If you have the cash, you can set yourself up a gymnastics rig in your house, like a pullup bar and rings, and then basically take gymnastics at home, but that's more convenient in a gym, after all, it's called gymnastics and all. For the money you spend on a full gymnastics set, you can get the same for free weights (well actually, rings would be cheap to set up, but you need a high ceiling for that really) basically whatever you'd spend on freeweights would probably be less money unless you buy like $1000 competition quality Eleiko bars and stuff like that. However, if you can set up gymnastics rings somewhere, you can get a set fairly cheaply if you look around, and rings are better than a pullup bar. Ring training would certainly be beneficial, too.

The last last thing you can do is isometrics. Isometrics isn't like, "the best" though, it's useful, but unlike what you read online much of the time, it's not complete magic. Isometrics builds up the tendons and CNS, it doesn't much for muscle growth really. Basically, a simple isometric is, let's say you have a horseshoe. Try to bend the horseshoe, you can't, right? Well how do some people bend horseshoes? They keep trying at it. The way isometric exercises work is, to apply force, your body gets used to spiking your blood pressure and putting a ton of blood into the muscle to apply max effort, but this only works for applying max effort for a small small range of motion, so just because someone is strong enough to bend horseshoes or something doesn't make them able to, say, clean and jerk 400lbs, because they've only trained the small isometric range of motion. You see this even in weightlifting, there's people that can rack pull (which is almost an isometric movement, you only lift the bar a couple inches) like 800lbs, then deadlift in the 400s.

So someone around could be, say, the strongest at bending horseshoes, but then still weak in every area. That said, isometric strength is VERY impressive, and combined with full body exercises can make you quite strong. There was an old time strongman, Alexander Zass, who trained mostly with isometrics, he could bend prison bars and stuff like that. It's definitely something you can look into, just beware, it's not magic.

But, gyms exist for a reason, in industrialized societies we mostly no longer chop wood and lift heavy logs and things like that, since we have machines and poor people do it for us.
_________________
But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Big Brother.

Source: http://www.wrongplanet.net/postt212613.html

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Sunday, October 14, 2012

Authorities: Body is that of missing Colo. girl

WESTMINSTER, Colo. (AP) ? The weeklong search for a 10-year-old Colorado girl became a murder investigation after authorities identified a body found in a suburban Denver park as that of fifth-grader Jessica Ridgeway.

"Our focus has changed from the search for Jessica to a mission of justice for Jessica," Westminster Police Chief Lee Birk said Friday. "We recognize there is a predator at large in our community."

Anxious parents kept close watch over their children. Fueling the frustration: The FBI again urged residents to report any suspicious activity by people they know.

"We want you to look for changes of habits, patterns, peculiar absences of those around you and report it to law enforcement," said Jim Yacone, FBI special agent in charge in Denver.

The U.S. Marshals Service, immigration officials and state Department of Corrections were reviewing registered sex offenders in the area, Yacone said without elaborating.

Investigators have received more than 1,500 tips from the public. Authorities also have searched more than 500 homes and more than 1,000 vehicles but still need the public's help, Yacone said.

Jessica was last seen beginning a short walk from her home to Witt Elementary School on the morning of Oct. 5. She never arrived. A search by hundreds of law officers did not start until hours later because Jessica's mother works nights and slept through a call from school officials saying Jessica wasn't there.

Jessica's backpack was found on a sidewalk in Superior on Oct. 7, some 6 miles northwest of her Westminster home. On Wednesday, authorities discovered a body in Arvada, about 7 miles west of her home, in a park in Arvada. They announced the body was Jessica's on Friday.

Over the week, police said Jessica had been abducted. They don't suspect her parents, Sarah Ridgeway of Westminster, and Jeremiah Bryant of Missouri.

Signs of the tragedy are everywhere in Jessica's neighborhood of modest, two-story homes with single-car garages.

Community members planned a gathering Saturday to celebrate Jessica's life.

Officers have searched homes and yards and guarded crosswalks. They've photographed cars entering the neighborhood. Mailboxes and trees were encircled by ribbons in Jessica's favorite color, purple.

Law-enforcement leaders said they would not disclose more information, saying it would jeopardize the investigation.

The FBI said they have not ruled out that the search for the suspect could be national.

"People kind of don't know what to expect because we don't know where this guy is or who he is or what he's capable of doing. That's the most horrible thing," said Suzette Morgan, a mother of two boys ages 13 and 8.

Lisa Kempton's three boys attend Jessica's school.

"I just make sure that if they go out that they stick together," Kempton said. "I'm trying not to live in fear, because ultimately that's when the crazies win."

Mary Sherman, who has a 16-year-old son and two daughters ages 13 and 11, said she and her neighbors are ensuring that children are monitored by trusted adults as they walk to school or the bus stop.

"We still have a fabulous community," Sherman said. "We'll move on."

___

Associated Press writers P. Solomon Banda and Catherine Tsai contributed to this story.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/authorities-body-missing-colo-girl-223952455.html

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Saturday, October 13, 2012

Romney says US 'attacked successfully' in Libya

ASHEVILLE, N.C. (AP) ? Republican candidate Mitt Romney said Thursday the attack on the U.S. Consulate in Libya is an issue in the presidential campaign in part because Americans wonder why it took the Obama administration so long to acknowledge it was a terrorist act.

Romney was responding to a charge by President Barack Obama's campaign that the Republican ticket has been politicizing the attack, which killed the U.S. ambassador to Libya and three other Americans.

At a rally in North Carolina, Romney read aloud comments from Obama spokeswoman Stephanie Cutter about the attack. "The entire reason that this has become the, you know, political topic it is, is because of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan," Cutter told CNN.

"No, President Obama," Romney said. "It's an issue because this is the first time in 33 years that a United States ambassador has been assassinated. Mr. President, this is an issue because we were attacked successfully by terrorists on the anniversary of Sept. 11. President Obama, this is an issue because Americans wonder why it was it took so long for you and your administration to admit that this was a terrorist attack."

In response, Obama campaign spokeswoman Lis Smith said Romney was trying to "score cheap political points."

The back-and-forth comes a day after Republicans used a politically charged House hearing to confront State Department officials about security at the U.S. consulate in Libya and assail the Obama administration's early response to the killing of the ambassador and three other Americans there.

U.S. Ambassador Chris Stevens died in what administration officials now describe as an act of terrorism.

In statements immediately after the attack, neither Obama nor Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton mentioned terrorism, though Obama referred to "acts of terror" in his Rose Garden statement the morning after the assault. Both Obama and Clinton gave credence to the notion that the attack was related to protests about the privately made anti-Islam video.

"Some have sought to justify this vicious behavior as a response to inflammatory material posted on the Internet," Clinton said on the night of the attack. "The United States deplores any intentional effort to denigrate the religious beliefs of others. Our commitment to religious tolerance goes back to the very beginning of our nation. But let me be clear: There is never any justification for violent acts of this kind."

The day after the attacks, State Department officials described them in a conference call with reporters. They outlined a prolonged assault that involved attacks on two different buildings at the Benghazi consulate, with Stevens and other officials trying to escape from one building only to be pinned down by gunfire in another.

Five days after the attack, U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice said her best information at the time was that it stemmed from a protest that became violent.

White House spokesman Jay Carney told reporters Wednesday that in hindsight "there is no question that the security was not enough to prevent that tragedy from happening. There were four Americans killed."

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/romney-says-us-attacked-successfully-libya-002921810--election.html

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